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 印度贸易部长:印度将以开放的视角看待与美国的贸易。 欧元/英镑上涨0.5%,至0.8897。 市场消息:据当地官员透露,利比亚东部武装部队已将利比亚中心城市苏尔特定为空袭的军事目标。 德国外交部长马斯:我们正在与我们的伙伴合作,找出沙特袭击的罪魁祸首。 现货金一度回到1500美元/盎司以下,较盘中高点下跌13美元,下跌0.8%至1502.33美元/盎司。 恒生期货上涨0.01%,至27058点。 金融行为管理局局长贝利正在收听香港证券交易所收购伦敦证交所的消息,但不肯接受。 高盛(Goldman Sachs):在勘探和生产公司中,康菲石油(ConocoPhillips)是其中之一。预计大陆能源公司(Continental Energy Company)和先锋自然资源公司(Pioneer Natural Resources Company)近期将面临油价上涨的最大潜在风险。 资料来源:沙特阿美可能需要几个月的时间才能完全恢复正常的石油生产水平。 【快讯】欧亚经济委员会(eurasian economic commission)贸易部长维罗妮卡•尼基什纳(veronica nikishina)表示,欧亚经济联盟与新加坡将于10月1日签署第一份fta协议。(卫星新闻) 高盛:如果停产影响超过3个月每天400万桶,布伦特原油可能会被推高至每桶75美元。 高盛(Goldman Sachs):目前沙特原油产量暂时混乱,对欧洲油气平衡产生中性影响,对美国天然气也有潜在负面影响。 德国DAX指数下跌0.6%,欧洲斯托克50指数下跌0.6%,意大利FTSE MIB指数下跌1%。 高盛(goldman sachs):我们预计美国油价将从每桶60美元的基准价上涨10美元。 高盛:如果停产影响超过500万桶/天,持续40-45天,到年底石油库存将下降,能够满足未来需求的天数将比正常情况减少4天。 香港苹果电信星期四报道,苹果公司将于本周在法庭上与世界上最大的税务案进行抗争,试图在欧盟发起新一击之前,缓解欧盟反垄断董事对互联网巨头的敌意。苹果将告诉卢森堡的欧盟常设法院,它是世界上最大的纳税人。但这对欧盟竞争事务专员玛格丽特•维斯塔格(margrethe vestager)来说还不够,他在2016年的一项裁决中表示,苹果公司(apple)之间的税收协议。o)爱尔兰导致该公司的薪酬远低于其他公司。法院现在必须权衡监管机构是否应该征收创纪录的130亿欧元(144亿美元)的税收。苹果在听证会前拒绝置评。欧盟委员会也拒绝置评。爱尔兰表示“强烈”不同意欧盟的调查结果。苹果案最终结果的第一条线索将在9月24日的两项判决中揭晓。(技术网) 高盛(Goldman Sachs):沙特油田因袭击而关闭,预计它将进一步了解原油生产将停止多久。不过,如果长时间停产500万至600万桶/日,则可能存在实际风险。 德国经济部长阿尔特迈耶:银行业被告知,这不是向数百万储户传达负利率的好办法。 德意志银行:在10月31日未达成协议的情况下,BrxIT的可能性降低至35%,此前为50%;早期选举仍是我们的基本预期。 【天丰证券:明年经济“开局好”的可能性很大】天丰证券指出,2020年一季度,在经济基本面内生改善的基础上,提前发行专项债券增加财政支出,结构性信贷政策支持制造业企业融资,在商品和货币方面给予适当的流动性合作,经济“开门红”的可能性较大。然而,受高CPI的制约,为了更好地管理通胀预期,防止物价上涨预期的蔓延,货币政策可能难以给出再放松的明确信号(如大幅降息)。  
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 Trade Minister of India: India will look at trade with the United States from an open perspective. EUR / GBP rose 0.5% to 0.8897. Market news: according to local officials, the armed forces in eastern Libya have set Sirte, the central city of Libya, as a military target for air strikes. German Foreign Minister Maas: we are working with our partners to find out the culprit of the Saudi attack. Spot gold once returned to below $1500 / oz, down $13 from intraday highs, down 0.8% to $1502.33/oz. Hang Seng futures rose 0.01% to 27058. Bailey, head of the financial conduct authority, is listening to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's acquisition of the London Stock Exchange, but will not take a stand. Goldman Sachs: among exploration and production companies, ConocoPhillips (COP. N), Continental energy company and pioneer natural resources company are expected to face the greatest potential risk of rising oil prices in the near future. Source: it may take several months for Saudi Aramco to fully resume production to normal oil production level. 【flash】 Veronica nikishina, trade minister of the Eurasian Economic Commission, said the first FTA agreement between the Eurasian Economic Union and Singapore would be signed on October 1. (Satellite News) Goldman Sachs: if the impact of the shutdown is more than 4 million barrels per day for more than three months, Brent crude oil may be pushed up to $75 per barrel. Goldman Sachs: the current temporary disorder of Saudi Crude oil output has a neutral impact on the balance of oil and gas in Europe and a potential negative impact on us natural gas. Germany's DAX index fell 0.6%, Europe's Stoxx 50 index fell 0.6%, and Italy's FTSE MIB fell 1%. Goldman Sachs: we expect us oil prices to rise by $10 per barrel from the base price of $60. Goldman Sachs: if the shutdown affects more than 5 million barrels / day for 40-45 days, the oil inventory will decline by the end of the year, and the number of days that can meet future demand will be reduced by 4 days compared with the normal situation. 【Apple plans to fight against the EU's $14 billion sky high tax bill】 us Hong Kong Telecom reported Thursday that Apple will fight against the world's largest tax case in court this week, trying to ease the hostility of EU antitrust directors to the Internet giant before the EU launches a new round of attacks on it. Apple will tell Luxembourg's EU permanent court that it is the world's largest taxpayer. But that's not enough for Margrethe vestager, the EU competition commissioner, who said in a 2016 ruling that the tax deal between Apple (AAPL. O) and Ireland caused the company to pay far less than other companies. The court now has to weigh whether regulators should levy a record 13 billion euros ($14.4 billion) in taxes. Apple declined to comment before the hearing. The European Commission also declined to comment. Ireland said it "strongly" disagreed with the EU's findings. The first clue to the final outcome of the apple case will be revealed in two decisions on September 24. (techweb) Goldman Sachs: the Saudi oil field is shut down due to the attack, and it is expected to know more about how long the crude oil production will stop. However, if the production of 5-6 million barrels / day is stopped for an extended period, there may be a real risk. German economy minister altmeyer: the banking industry has been told that it is not a good way to convey negative interest rates to millions of depositors. Deutsche Bank: reduce the possibility of brexit without agreement on October 31 to 35%, previously 50%; early election is still our basic expectation. 【Tianfeng Securities: there is a high probability that the economy will get a "good start" next year】 Tianfeng Securities pointed out that in the first quarter of 2020, on the basis of the endogenous improvement of economic fundamentals, special bonds will be issued in advance to increase financial expenditure, structural credit policies will support the financing of manufacturing enterprises, and appropriate liquidity cooperation will be given in terms of goods and currency, so the probability of the economy getting a "good start" is high. However, restricted by the high CPI, in order to manage inflation expectations well and prevent the spread of price rise expectations, monetary policy may be difficult to give a clear signal of re easing (such as a sharp cut in interest rates).  

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